I was almost ready to provide the community with an analysis of how certain decisions by the ECC court might effect the counting of absentee ballots when the court issued the ruling declaring 400 ballot envelopes which are to be sent to the SOS's office for a final examination prior to being counted if they meet the court's final standards.
Expectantly Peter Demuth, the college student who testified for Coleman and used his mouse to mark his absentee ballot application, was on the list.
If you start with the 225 vote Franken lead and give him the 36 from the Nauen Petitioners, Coleman needs to get 87% of the votes to win. If 18% of the votes go into the "other" pile Coleman needs 95% of the remaining votes to win.
I was able to correlate 389 of the envelopes ordered examined to the lists filed by the campaigns during the trial. With the exception of the 34 voters from the Nauen group, 122 were only on Coleman's lists and another 74 were unique to Franken's lists. The remaining 156 were listed on both campaign's lists and Coleman entered 19 of those into evidence during open court compared to 116 which Franken's team introduced. Of the remaining 21 Coleman only introduced 7 of the envelopes in filings plus another 3 AB applications.
Apparently the 389 can be broken down into 3 groups. 34 from the Nauen group which are almost certainly Franken votes. 141 where Coleman made an attempt to get the ballot counted, and 190 which Franken's team made an effort to get the vote counted.
If all 400 are counted, the 36 Nauen group goes to Franken, and the rest split equal to the election night numbers Franken will net 23 votes.
Since Coleman only has a possibility of gaining 62 votes from the 10 precincts remaining in his "double counting" allegation and 42 votes from Minneapolis 3-1's 132 missing ballots Coleman's chances of winning the contest phase are almost zilch.